Telecom and IT predictions for 2008Roese-45X64.jpg
Posted by John Roese

Since it's the beginning of a new year, I thought I would go out on a limb and posit some predictions on what we might expect to see in telecom and IT in 2008. As with all predictions, these are at best qualified guesses, but let me try to explain why I think they might happen. #1: WiMAX (production) and LTE (trials) will get some real air time and more people will see that they offer fundamentally different experiences and have different ecosystems than either cellular or wireline networks. Today, far too many people look at emerging 4G technologies and try to compare them to 2G and 3G cellular networks. The challenge with that is that the total experience, ecosystem and focus of these new systems differ dramatically from any network deployed before them. GSM, UMTS, CDMA and other existing cellular networks were designed, built and used to make phone calls and to provide narrowband data and some other services to users of mobile devices that mostly resembled phones. They all do a good job of this, so if you wonder why you need a new network to support your mobile phone to make phone calls and do "phone stuff" when you're mobile, you are not alone. If all that 4G results in is a better 3G network, it is most certainly not worth the effort. But, the good news is that 4G isn't about just a better phone call. It is about mobilizing the Internet, to the point where anything you can do on a WiFi network comes together with anything you do on a cell phone to create a fully mobile experience that approximates the performance, latency and flexibility of traditional wireline networks, but with the added value of mobility. Click here to read more of John's blog.

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